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Mountain Weather Forecast

Issued: 1:58 PM PST Tuesday, February 20, 2024
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Tuesday night through Thursday

A quasi-stationary low pressure system off the coast of Oregon will drift northward through Wednesday, rotating showers over the area over the next day and a half. Showers will come in waves with a bit of a lull tonight and then increasing again on Wednesday. The southwest Cascades will pick up the most precipitation through tomorrow afternoon with the highest water numbers likely for the southern slopes of Mt Rainier and Mt St Helens. A brief period of S-SE winds later tonight through Wednesday morning will spread shower activity further along the east slopes of the Cascades before the flow becomes more SW-erly Wednesday afternoon. We'll see rain at lower elevation trailheads and Passes with the snow level around 4000-4500' for most areas through Wednesday.

Upper level ridging will build over the area late Wednesday night and Thursday. We may see a few stray showers over the Olympic peninsula and northwest Cascades but overall, a drying trend will take hold. Winds will be fairly light out of the W-SW and freezing levels will rise to 4500-5500' in the afternoon. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers. Showers heaviest southern slopes of the Olympics. Periods of moderate ridgeline winds.
Cloudy with light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers. Showers heaviest southern slopes of the Olympics. Moderate ridgeline winds.
West North
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers. Periods of moderate ridgeline winds.
Mostly cloudy with scattered light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers in the morning, then cloudy with showers increasing in the afternoon. Moderate ridgeline winds.
West Central
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers. Periods of moderate ridgeline winds.
Cloudy with light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers.
West South
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy with light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers. Heaviest showers near the volcanoes. Ridgeline winds increasing and becoming moderate after midnight.
Cloudy with light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers. Heaviest showers near the volcanoes. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Stevens Pass
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers. Light E winds at Pass level. SE winds at ridgeline increasing after midnight.
Cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers in the morning, then showers increasing in the afternoon. Variable and light winds at Pass level. Light to moderate SE winds at ridgeline becoming SW late in the afternoon.
Snoqualmie Pass
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers. Light E winds at Pass level. SE winds at ridgeline increasing after midnight.
Cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers in the morning, then showers increasing in the afternoon. Variable and light winds at Pass level. Light to moderate SE winds at ridgeline becoming SW late in the afternoon.
East North
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers.
Cloudy with light rain and snow showers in the morning, becoming mostly cloudy with scattered light showers in the afternoon.
East Central
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers. Ridgeline winds increasing and becoming moderate after midnight.
Cloudy with light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers in the morning, becoming mostly cloudy with scattered light showers in the afternoon.
East South
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers. Ridgeline winds increasing and becoming moderate after midnight.
Cloudy with light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers in the morning, becoming mostly cloudy with scattered light showers in the afternoon. Ridgeline winds increasing to moderate in the afternoon.
Mt. Hood
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers. Moderate ridgeline winds increasing overnight.
Light to moderate rain and snow showers. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Tuesday Evening Snow Level* None' None' None' None' 4500' 5000' None' 6500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level* None' None' None' None' 4000' 4500' None' 5000'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level* None' None' None' None' 3500' 3500' None' 4500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level None' None' None' None' 4000' 4000' None' 4500'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level None' None' None' None' 4000' 4000' None' 4000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level None' None' None' None' 3500' 3500' None' 4000'
Thursday Morning Snow Level None' None' None' None' 3500' 3500' None' 4500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
None'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
None'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
None'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
None'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Washington Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
None'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
None'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Leavenworth Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
None'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
None'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
4000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
3500'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
4000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
3500'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
None'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
None'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
4000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
4000'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
4500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Tuesday Night Wednesday Wednesday Night Thursday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.25 LT 0.25 0.25 LT 0.10
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.25 0.25 0.25 LT 0.10
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.25 0
Crystal Mt LT 0.25 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Paradise 0.25 0.50 0.25 0
White Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.25 0
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Mt Hood Meadows 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 0
0.25 0.50 0.25 0
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday LT 0.10
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday 0.25
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday LT 0.10
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday 0.25
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.25
Wednesday 0.50
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday 0
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.25
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.25
Wednesday 0.50
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday 0

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Tuesday Evening --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None SSE None - None
Tuesday Night --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None SW None - None
Wednesday Morning --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None SW None - None
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Tuesday Evening --- None - None
Tuesday Night --- None - None
Wednesday Morning --- None - None
Wednesday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Baker Elevation
Tuesday Evening --- None - None
Tuesday Night --- None - None
Wednesday Morning --- None - None
Wednesday Afternoon --- None - None
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening --- None - None
Tuesday Night --- None - None
Wednesday Morning --- None - None
Wednesday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Tuesday Evening --- None - None
Tuesday Night --- None - None
Wednesday Morning --- None - None
Wednesday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Evening SSE None - None
Tuesday Night SW None - None
Wednesday Morning SW None - None
Wednesday Afternoon WSW None - None
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening --- None - None
Tuesday Night --- None - None
Wednesday Morning --- None - None
Wednesday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening --- None - None
Tuesday Night --- None - None
Wednesday Morning --- None - None
Wednesday Afternoon --- None - None
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening --- None - None
Tuesday Night --- None - None
Wednesday Morning --- None - None
Wednesday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening --- None - None
Tuesday Night --- None - None
Wednesday Morning --- None - None
Wednesday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening SSE None - None
Tuesday Night SW None - None
Wednesday Morning SW None - None
Wednesday Afternoon WSW None - None

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Tuesday Evening --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None
Tuesday Night --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None
Wednesday Morning --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening --- None - None
Tuesday Night --- None - None
Wednesday Morning --- None - None
Wednesday Afternoon --- None - None
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening --- None - None
Tuesday Night --- None - None
Wednesday Morning --- None - None
Wednesday Afternoon --- None - None
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening --- None - None
Tuesday Night --- None - None
Wednesday Morning --- None - None
Wednesday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening --- None - None
Tuesday Night --- None - None
Wednesday Morning --- None - None
Wednesday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening --- None - None
Tuesday Night --- None - None
Wednesday Morning --- None - None
Wednesday Afternoon --- None - None

Extended Weather Synopsis for Thursday night through Saturday

Dry, mild and mostly sunny weather will make for a pleasant end to the work week.  Upper level ridging will begin to flatten on Friday and further Friday night, allowing clouds and perhaps some light precipitation to reach the northern half of the forecast area during the day on Saturday.  It's looking increasingly likely a pattern change is on the horizon, with a frontal system slamming into the area on Sunday, and a potentially strong system on its heels early next week. Snow levels may start out above some lower traileheads and Passes, but we'll eventually enter the cold and snowy pattern. How long this lasts is still up in the air...but finally, we have some real winter weather to focus on. 

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Thursday Night Snow Level None' - None' None' - None' None' - None'
Friday Snow Level None' - None' None' - None' None' - None'
Friday Night Snow Level None' - None' None' - None' None' - None'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
Friday Snow Level
None' - None'
Friday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
Saturday Snow Level
None' - None'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
Friday Snow Level
None' - None'
Friday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
Saturday Snow Level
None' - None'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
Friday Snow Level
None' - None'
Friday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
Saturday Snow Level
None' - None'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb. 20, 2024

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