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Mountain Weather Forecast

Issued: 1:59 PM PST Tuesday, February 27, 2024
by Dallas Glass

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Tuesday night through Thursday

We're in for a wet and wild next 36 hours as a potent winter storm takes aim at the Pacific Northwest. This system has it all: moderate to heavy precipitation, warming temperatures, and very strong and gusty winds. Expect stormy conditions with periods of heavy rain/snow and low visibility. 

The first bands of precipitation out ahead of the warm front are just starting to make their way across the Puget Sound this afternoon. Nearly all mountain weather stations already show a slow but steady rise in temperatures. Rain and snow will increase across the Olympics and west slopes of the Cascades Tuesday night. As temperatures continue to warm, the snow-rain line should quickly jump above Snoqualmie Pass during the evening hours. Strong westerly winds will help push showers east of the Crest, but it won't be until Wednesday that the bulk of the moisture ventures over the mountains.

The storm continues to intensify Wednesday morning as the jet stream passes overhead and the upper air flow turns more southwesterly. This setup draws a deep moisture tap from out in the Pacific Ocean and develops an atmospheric river. Warmer air continues to push into the region and finally makes its way east of the Cascades. Stevens and White Passes should see rain at road level around lunchtime. Very strong to extreme winds accompany moderate to heavy precipitation throughout the day. 

The frontal feature deepens southward Wednesday night as the storm continues to rage. This focuses a bit more of the precipitation on the southern volcanoes. As the storm moves into Oregon, colder air floods into the area, and snow levels quickly fall. Expect snow below all pass levels before sunrise. As the bulk of the storm exists Thursday, post-frontal showers and an unstable atmosphere should help wring out additional snow, mainly along the west slopes of the Cascades. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
Tuesday Night Stormy conditions developing with periods of moderate precipitation and strong and gusty SW winds. Warming.
Stormy with periods of moderate to heavy precipitation. Storng and gusty SW winds.
West North
Tuesday Night Stormy conditions developing overnight. Periods of heavy precipitation with warming. Moderate to strong and gusty SW winds.
Storm with continued warming. Periods of heavy precipitation. Very strong and gusty SSW winds.
West Central
Tuesday Night Stormy conditions developing overnight. Periods of heavy precipitation with warming. SW winds becoming strong and gusty.
Storm with periods of heavy precipitation and very strong and gusty SW winds.
West South
Tuesday Night Stormy conditions developing overnight. Periods of moderate to heavy precipitation, particularly near the volcanoes. SW winds becoming strong and gusty, especially near the Cascade crest. Warming.
Stormy with periods of heavy precipitation and very strong and gusty SW winds.
Stevens Pass
Tuesday Night Stormy conditions developing with warming temperatures. Periods of moderate to heavy precipitation. Moderate WSW winds becoming strong and gusty. Very light E flow at pass level, ending overnight.
Stormy with periods of moderate to heavy precipitation. Strong and gusty WSW winds decreasing slightly in the afternoon.
Snoqualmie Pass
Tuesday Night Stormy conditions developing with warming and rain reaching above pass level. Periods of heavy precipitation. WSW winds becoming strong and gusty. Very light east flow at pass level ending overnight.
Stormy with periods of moderate to heavy precipitation. Strong and gusty WSW winds decreasing slightly in the afternoon.
East North
Tuesday Night Cloudy with precipitation increasing toward sunrise. Moderate SW winds becoming strong and gusty.
Stormy with moderate to heavy precipitation and significant warming. Very strong and gusty SW winds decreasing slightly.
East Central
Tuesday Night Cloudy with precipitation increasing overnight, particularly near the crest. Strong and gusty WSW winds becoming very strong to extreme.
Stormy, particularly near the crest. Periods of moderate to heavy precipitation with warming. Very strong to extreme WSW winds decreasing slightly in the afternoon.
East South
Tuesday Night Cloudy with precipitation increasing overnight, heaviest near the crest. Strong and gusty WSW winds becoming very strong to extreme.
Stormy particularly near the crest with periods of moderate to heavy precipitation and warming temperatures. Very strong to extreme WSW winds decreasing slightly in the afternoon.
Mt. Hood
Tuesday Night Stormy conditions developing in the evening with periods of heavy precipitation and warming temperatures. Strong and gusty WSW winds becoming very strong to extreme.
Stormy with periods of moderate to heavy precipitation and continued warming. Extreme WSW winds decreasing slightly in the afternoon.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Tuesday Evening Snow Level* None' None' None' None' 1500' 2000' None' 2500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level None' None' None' None' 3000' 3500' None' 3500'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level None' None' None' None' 4000' 4000' None' 4000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level None' None' None' None' 4500' 4500' None' 5000'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level None' None' None' None' 4000' 4000' None' 5000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level None' None' None' None' 2500' 2500' None' 4000'
Thursday Morning Snow Level None' None' None' None' 1500' 1500' None' 2000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
None'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
None'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
None'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
None'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Washington Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
None'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
None'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Leavenworth Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
None'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
None'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
3000'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
4000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
2500'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
3500'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
4000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
2500'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
None'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
None'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
3500'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
5000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
4000'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Tuesday Night Wednesday Wednesday Night Thursday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 - 0.75 0.75 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 1.00 - 1.50 2.00 1.50 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 1.00 - 1.50 1.50 - 2.00 1.50 0.50
Stevens Pass 1.00 0.75 0.75 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass 1.00 - 1.50 0.75 - 1.00 1.00 0.25
Crystal Mt 0.25 0.75 1.00 0.25
Paradise 1.50 1.00 - 1.50 1.50 - 2.00 0.50 - 0.75
White Pass 0.50 - 0.75 0.50 - 0.75 1.00 0.25 - 0.50
Washington Pass 0.50 0.75 0.75 LT 0.25
Mission Ridge 0.25 LT 0.25 0.25 LT 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 1.00 0.75 0.75 LT 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 0.75 LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows 1.00 - 1.50 0.75 1.00 0.50
1.50 0.75 - 1.00 1.00 0.50 - 0.75
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday 0.50 - 0.75
Wednesday Night 0.75
Thursday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Wednesday 2.00
Wednesday Night 1.50
Thursday 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Wednesday 1.50 - 2.00
Wednesday Night 1.50
Thursday 0.50
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 1.00
Wednesday 0.75
Wednesday Night 0.75
Thursday 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Wednesday 0.75 - 1.00
Wednesday Night 1.00
Thursday 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.25
Wednesday 0.75
Wednesday Night 1.00
Thursday 0.25
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 1.50
Wednesday 1.00 - 1.50
Wednesday Night 1.50 - 2.00
Thursday 0.50 - 0.75
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Wednesday 0.50 - 0.75
Wednesday Night 1.00
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.50
Wednesday 0.75
Wednesday Night 0.75
Thursday LT 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.25
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday LT 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 1.00
Wednesday 0.75
Wednesday Night 0.75
Thursday LT 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday Night 0.75
Thursday LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Wednesday 0.75
Wednesday Night 1.00
Thursday 0.50
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 1.50
Wednesday 0.75 - 1.00
Wednesday Night 1.00
Thursday 0.50 - 0.75

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Tuesday Evening --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None WSW None - None
Tuesday Night --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None WSW None - None
Wednesday Morning --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None WSW None - None
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Tuesday Evening --- None - None
Tuesday Night --- None - None
Wednesday Morning --- None - None
Wednesday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Baker Elevation
Tuesday Evening --- None - None
Tuesday Night --- None - None
Wednesday Morning --- None - None
Wednesday Afternoon --- None - None
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening --- None - None
Tuesday Night --- None - None
Wednesday Morning --- None - None
Wednesday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Tuesday Evening --- None - None
Tuesday Night --- None - None
Wednesday Morning --- None - None
Wednesday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Evening WSW None - None
Tuesday Night WSW None - None
Wednesday Morning WSW None - None
Wednesday Afternoon WSW None - None
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening --- None - None
Tuesday Night --- None - None
Wednesday Morning --- None - None
Wednesday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening --- None - None
Tuesday Night --- None - None
Wednesday Morning --- None - None
Wednesday Afternoon --- None - None
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening --- None - None
Tuesday Night --- None - None
Wednesday Morning --- None - None
Wednesday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening --- None - None
Tuesday Night --- None - None
Wednesday Morning --- None - None
Wednesday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening WSW None - None
Tuesday Night WSW None - None
Wednesday Morning WSW None - None
Wednesday Afternoon WSW None - None

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Extended Weather Synopsis for Thursday night through Saturday

Behind the major storm, we sit in an open trough pattern. Subtle waves of moisture should bring periods of light snowfall in nearly every 12-hour block through the end of the week. While the overall pattern is easy to identify, it's hard to nail down specifics of exactly when these pluses of snow will reach the mountains. With cold air in place, this should help add to the already impressive weekly snow totals. 

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Thursday Night Snow Level None' - None' None' - None' None' - None' *
Friday Snow Level None' - None' None' - None' None' - None' *
Friday Night Snow Level None' - None' None' - None' None' - None' *
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Snow Level
None' - None'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Snow Level
None' - None'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Snow Level
None' - None'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb. 25, 2024

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