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Mountain Weather Forecast

Issued: 5:00 PM PST Friday, March 1, 2024
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Friday night through Sunday

5pm update: Fixed typo in the synopsis

With the jet stream directing the storm track into California, the PNW sits in an unseasonably cold unstable air mass with a broad upper level trough overhead. We'll see the trough steer showers inland throughout the weekend.  Upper level disturbances emanating from the upper trough will enhance shower activity at times. A cluster of showers associated with one of these upper level shortwave features is rotating north through Washington State this afternoon with more scattered showers to the south.  We'll see a quieter period this evening until another shortwave lifts north late tonight through Saturday morning, spreading renewed showers on both sides of the crest. There will also be an uptick in E-SE ridgeline winds in most areas.The Olympics will pick up the most snow in this pattern, but all areas will squeeze several inches of low-density snow out of an otherwise unimpressive precipitation forecast.  

By Saturday afternoon, the flow aloft becomes SW and we'll see more scattered showers associated with daytime heating and a cold unstable air mass. Heavier showers are likely to contain graupel. W-SW ridgeline winds will become Saturday afternoon except where they're locally strong near Mt Hood. Showers should wane Saturday night, and spark up to a lesser degree on Sunday as the upper level trough begins to weaken. 

We may see a similar pattern on Monday with showers that wax and wane with daytime heating in SW flow.  However, a developing frontal system approaching from the SW may impact the Mt Hood area and perhaps the south WA Cascades, or heavier precipitation may stay further south.  Throughout this period, snow levels will dip overnight near sea level, and only rebound to 1000-2000' during the day. Temperatures will cool rapidly with elevation with overnight lows in the teens and highs in the low to mid 20s at 5000'.  Freezing levels during drier periods and longer stretches of sunshine will be roughly 500-1000' higher than the snow level during showers. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
Friday Night Cloudy with light to moderate snow showers. Heaviest showers southwest slopes of the Olymipcs. Periods of moderate ridgeline winds.
Cloudy with light to moderate snow showers. Heaviest showers southwest slopes of the Olymipcs. Periods of moderate ridgeline winds.
West North
Friday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered light to occasionally moderate snow showers increasing late. Periods of moderate ridgeline winds.
Cloudy with light to occasionally moderate snow showers in the morning, then mostly cloudy with scattered light snow showers in the afternoon. Periods of moderate ridgeline winds
West Central
Friday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered light to occasionally moderate snow showers increasing late. Periods of moderate ridgeline winds.
Mostly cloudy with scattered light snow showers in the morning, then showers becoming light to occasionally moderate in the afternoon. Moderate ridgeline winds
West South
Friday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered light to occasionally moderate snow showers increasing in the evening. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Mostly cloudy with scattered light snow showers in the morning, then showers becoming light to occasionally moderate in the afternoon. Moderate ridgeline winds
Stevens Pass
Friday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered light to occasionally moderate snow showers increasing late in the evening. Moderate SE Pass level and ridgeline winds.
Mostly cloudy with scattered light snow showers in the morning, then showers becoming light to occasionally moderate in the afternoon. Moderate WSW Pass level and ridgeline winds
Snoqualmie Pass
Friday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered light to occasionally moderate snow showers increasing late in the evening. Moderate SE Pass level and ridgeline winds.
Mostly cloudy with scattered light snow showers in the morning, then showers becoming light to occasionally moderate in the afternoon. Moderate WSW Pass level and ridgeline winds
East North
Friday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered light snow showers increasing late. Periods of moderate ridgeline winds.
Cloudy with light to occasionally moderate snow showers in the morning, then mostly cloudy with scattered light snow showers in the afternoon. Moderate ridgeline winds.
East Central
Friday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered light to occasionally moderate snow showers increasing late in the evening. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Mostly cloudy with scattered light snow showers. Moderate ridgeline winds.
East South
Friday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered light to occasionally moderate snow showers increasing in the evening. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Mostly cloudy with scattered light snow showers. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Mt. Hood
Friday Night Cloudy with light to occasionally moderate snow showers becoming scattered after midnight. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Cloudy with light to occasionally moderate snow showers. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Friday Evening Snow Level None' None' None' None' 500' 500' None' 500'
Friday Night Snow Level None' None' None' None' 0' 0' None' 0'
Saturday Morning Snow Level None' None' None' None' 500' 500' None' 500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level None' None' None' None' 1500' 1500' None' 1500'
Saturday Evening Snow Level None' None' None' None' 500' 500' None' 500'
Saturday Night Snow Level None' None' None' None' 0' 0' None' 0'
Sunday Morning Snow Level None' None' None' None' 500' 500' None' 500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
None'
Friday Night Snow Level
None'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
None'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
None'
Saturday Night Snow Level
None'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
None'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
None'
Friday Night Snow Level
None'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
None'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
None'
Saturday Night Snow Level
None'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
None'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Washington Pass Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
None'
Friday Night Snow Level
None'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
None'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
None'
Saturday Night Snow Level
None'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
None'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Leavenworth Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
None'
Friday Night Snow Level
None'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
None'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
None'
Saturday Night Snow Level
None'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
None'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
500'
Friday Night Snow Level
0'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
0'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
500'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
500'
Friday Night Snow Level
0'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
0'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
500'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
None'
Friday Night Snow Level
None'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
None'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
None'
Saturday Night Snow Level
None'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
None'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
500'
Friday Night Snow Level
0'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
0'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
500'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Friday Night Saturday Saturday Night Sunday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.25 0.25 0.25 LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Crystal Mt LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Paradise LT 0.25 0.25 0.25 LT 0.25
White Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.25
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday LT 0.25
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.25
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.25

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Friday Evening --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None S None - None
Friday Night --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None WSW None - None
Saturday Morning --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None WSW None - None
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Friday Evening --- None - None
Friday Night --- None - None
Saturday Morning --- None - None
Saturday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Evening --- None - None
Friday Night --- None - None
Saturday Morning --- None - None
Saturday Afternoon --- None - None
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Evening --- None - None
Friday Night --- None - None
Saturday Morning --- None - None
Saturday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Friday Evening --- None - None
Friday Night --- None - None
Saturday Morning --- None - None
Saturday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Evening S None - None
Friday Night WSW None - None
Saturday Morning WSW None - None
Saturday Afternoon WSW None - None
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Friday Evening --- None - None
Friday Night --- None - None
Saturday Morning --- None - None
Saturday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Friday Evening --- None - None
Friday Night --- None - None
Saturday Morning --- None - None
Saturday Afternoon --- None - None
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Friday Evening --- None - None
Friday Night --- None - None
Saturday Morning --- None - None
Saturday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Friday Evening --- None - None
Friday Night --- None - None
Saturday Morning --- None - None
Saturday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Friday Evening S None - None
Friday Night WSW None - None
Saturday Morning WSW None - None
Saturday Afternoon WSW None - None

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Extended Weather Synopsis for Sunday night through Tuesday

During the middle of the next week the trough should finally exit to the east with weak upper level ridging trying to build into the PNW. We'll likely still have to contend with light isolated afternoon showers but it will be a respite until more active weather potentially returns towards the end of next week. 

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Sunday Night Snow Level None' - None' None' - None' None' - None'
Monday Snow Level None' - None' None' - None' None' - None'
Monday Night Snow Level None' - None' None' - None' None' - None'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Sunday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
Monday Snow Level
None' - None'
Monday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
Tuesday Snow Level
None' - None'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
Monday Snow Level
None' - None'
Monday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
Tuesday Snow Level
None' - None'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
Monday Snow Level
None' - None'
Monday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
Tuesday Snow Level
None' - None'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from March 1, 2024

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