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Mountain Weather Forecast

Issued: 2:46 PM PST Monday, March 11, 2024
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Monday night through Wednesday

NWAC will be closed Tuesday, March 12th as we gather and grieve following the death of one our forecasters, Matt Primomo. We will not issue regular avalanche or mountain weather forecasts on Tuesday. We will return to normal operations on Wednesday, March 13th. We appreciate the community's understanding and support during this time.

The third and strongest in a series of progressive frontal systems arrives Monday night. Light to moderate snowfall spread into the the Cascades by the end of the day on Monday. As a well-developed cold front moves through the region during the evening hours, expect moderate to heavy rain and snow, moderate to occasionally strong SSW ridgeline winds, and a brief period of warming. Snow levels peak around 3000-3500 ft in the early evening hours before cooling begins overnight. E flow could keep Snoqualmie Pass proper as wet snow with temperatures hovering around or slightly above freezing. Moderate snow showers continue as winds shift towards the SW or WSW overnight, gradually decreasing in most areas.

Moderate snow showers continue on Tuesday as the deep upper trough brings cooling aloft, creating increased convection by the afternoon, but snow levels lower from 3000 to 2500 ft. A significant convergence band likely forms around Mt Baker early Tuesday and drop southward as the day progresses. It should reach Stevens Pass by the end of the day and likely reaches Snoqualmie Pass during the evening hours.

Snow showers taper Tuesday night as the trough exits to the east and flow aloft shifts to the NNW. Expect minor amounts of trapped low-level moisture to bring a few flurries to parts of the west slopes of the Cascades very early in the day. Skies transition to partly to mostly sunny on Wednesday as a ridge builds and expands offshore.

 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
Monday Night Moderate rain and snow (heavy southern and eastern Olympics) transitioning to decreasing showers. Decreasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Decreasing generally light snow showers. Decreasing light to moderate ridgeline winds.
West North
Monday Night Heavy rain and snow. Moderate ridgeline winds gradually decreasing overnight.
Decreasing moderate snow showers, locally heavy in convergence during the morning hours. Moderate ridgeline winds.
West Central
Monday Night Decreasing moderate to heavy rain and snow. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Decreasing moderate snow showers, locally heavy in convergence, which shifts from north to south across the zone during the day.
West South
Monday Night For the volcanoes: Heavy rain and snow transitions to moderate showers overnight. For Crystal and White Pass: Moderate rain and snow transitions to showers overnight. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Decreasing light to moderate snow showers. Light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Stevens Pass
Monday Night Light to moderate rain and snow. Light to moderate ridgeline and light E wind switching W at the Pass in the early morning hours.
Moderate snow showers, locally heavy in convergence. Light to moderate ridgeline and light W wind at the Pass.
Snoqualmie Pass
Monday Night Moderate rain and snow. Light to moderate ridgeline and light E wind switching W at the Pass in the early morning hours.
Moderate snow showers, locally heavy in convergence. Moderate ridgeline and light W wind at the Pass.
East North
Monday Night Light to moderate rain and snow. Light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Decreasing light snow showers. Moderate ridgeline winds.
East Central
Monday Night Moderate rain and snow transitioning to light showers. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Mostly light snow showers. Moderate ridgeline winds.
East South
Monday Night Moderate rain and snow transitioning to light showers. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Mostly light snow showers. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Mt. Hood
Monday Night Moderate rain and snow. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Moderate snow showers. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Monday Evening Snow Level* None' None' None' None' 3000' 3000' None' 3500'
Monday Night Snow Level None' None' None' None' 3000' 3000' None' 3500'
Tuesday Morning Snow Level None' None' None' None' 3000' 3000' None' 3000'
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level None' None' None' None' 3000' 2500' None' 2500'
Tuesday Evening Snow Level None' None' None' None' 2000' 2000' None' 2500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level None' None' None' None' 1500' 1500' None' 2000'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level None' None' None' None' 1500' 1500' None' 2000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Monday Evening Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Night Snow Level
None'
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
None'
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
None'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Monday Evening Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Night Snow Level
None'
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
None'
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
None'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Washington Pass Elevation
Monday Evening Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Night Snow Level
None'
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
None'
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
None'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Leavenworth Elevation
Monday Evening Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Night Snow Level
None'
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
None'
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
None'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Monday Evening Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Night Snow Level
3000'
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
3000'
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
2000'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
1500'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Monday Evening Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Night Snow Level
3000'
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
3000'
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
2000'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
1500'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Monday Evening Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Night Snow Level
None'
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
None'
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
None'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
None'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Monday Evening Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Night Snow Level
3500'
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
3000'
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
2500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
2000'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Monday Night Tuesday Tuesday Night Wednesday
5 pm - 5 am 5 am - 5 pm 5 pm - 5 am 5 am - 5 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Mt Baker Ski Area 1.00 - 1.50 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0.75 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 LT 0.10
Stevens Pass 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass 0.75 - 1.00 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Paradise 0.75 - 1.00 0.75 0.25 0
White Pass 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 LT 0.25 0
Washington Pass 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Mission Ridge 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 0 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0.75 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Mt Hood Meadows 0.50 0.50 LT 0.25 0
0.50 - 0.75 0.50 LT 0.25 0
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Tuesday 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday LT 0.10
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night 0.75
Tuesday 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday Night 0.25
Wednesday LT 0.10
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday Night 0.25
Wednesday LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night 0.75 - 1.00
Tuesday 0.50
Tuesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday LT 0.10
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night 0.75 - 1.00
Tuesday 0.75
Tuesday Night 0.25
Wednesday 0
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday 0.50
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday 0
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night 0.75
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday Night 0.25
Wednesday 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night 0.50
Tuesday 0.50
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday 0
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday 0.50
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday 0

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Monday Evening --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None SW None - None
Monday Night --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None WSW None - None
Tuesday Morning --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None WSW None - None
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Monday Evening --- None - None
Monday Night --- None - None
Tuesday Morning --- None - None
Tuesday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Baker Elevation
Monday Evening --- None - None
Monday Night --- None - None
Tuesday Morning --- None - None
Tuesday Afternoon --- None - None
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Monday Evening --- None - None
Monday Night --- None - None
Tuesday Morning --- None - None
Tuesday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Monday Evening --- None - None
Monday Night --- None - None
Tuesday Morning --- None - None
Tuesday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Hood Elevation
Monday Evening SW None - None
Monday Night WSW None - None
Tuesday Morning WSW None - None
Tuesday Afternoon W None - None
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Monday Evening --- None - None
Monday Night --- None - None
Tuesday Morning --- None - None
Tuesday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Monday Evening --- None - None
Monday Night --- None - None
Tuesday Morning --- None - None
Tuesday Afternoon --- None - None
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Monday Evening --- None - None
Monday Night --- None - None
Tuesday Morning --- None - None
Tuesday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Monday Evening --- None - None
Monday Night --- None - None
Tuesday Morning --- None - None
Tuesday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Monday Evening SW None - None
Monday Night WSW None - None
Tuesday Morning WSW None - None
Tuesday Afternoon W None - None

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Monday Evening --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None
Monday Night --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None
Tuesday Morning --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Monday Evening --- None - None
Monday Night --- None - None
Tuesday Morning --- None - None
Tuesday Afternoon --- None - None
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Monday Evening --- None - None
Monday Night --- None - None
Tuesday Morning --- None - None
Tuesday Afternoon --- None - None
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Monday Evening --- None - None
Monday Night --- None - None
Tuesday Morning --- None - None
Tuesday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Monday Evening --- None - None
Monday Night --- None - None
Tuesday Morning --- None - None
Tuesday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Monday Evening --- None - None
Monday Night --- None - None
Tuesday Morning --- None - None
Tuesday Afternoon --- None - None

Extended Weather Synopsis for Wednesday night through Friday

The ridge of high pressure amplifies and brings warming temperatures aloft. Expect inversions during the morning hours and significantly milder temperatures late Thursday. Expect much more significant warming on Friday as freezing levels rise up to 10000 ft in the afternoon once the low-level inversions mix out.

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Wednesday Night Snow Level None' - None' None' - None' None' - None'
Thursday Snow Level None' - None' None' - None' None' - None'
Thursday Night Snow Level None' - None' None' - None' None' - None' *
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
Thursday Snow Level
None' - None'
Thursday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
Thursday Snow Level
None' - None'
Thursday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
Thursday Snow Level
None' - None'
Thursday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from March 11, 2024

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.