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Mountain Weather Forecast

Issued: 2:28 PM PST Sunday, November 17, 2024
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Sunday night through Tuesday

A significant winter storm continues to impact the Pacific Northwest through the weekend and into early next week. Although the cold front passed through the region on Sunday, an upper trough moving onshore Sunday afternoon will keep the snow stacking up in our mountains as snow levels drop below the major passes Sunday evening. Snow levels continue to lower through early Monday. Generally light to moderate westerly ridgeline winds will focus the moderate convective snow shower activity on the west slopes of the Cascades. As of Sunday afternoon, a heavy convergence band has formed Sunday afternoon over the Skagit Valley. This should gradually shift southward into the Mountain loop later in the day, and then over Stevens and Snoqualmie passes during the evening.

Monday morning will continue to bring periods snow showers to the west slopes and areas areas near the crest of the Cascades, with some possibility of lingering convergence zone activity in the central Cascades. Snow levels should remain low for November...mostly below 2000 ft, so expect high snow-to-liquid ratios. Snow showers gradually decrease and become mostly light on Monday afternoon and evening. However, areas from Paradise southward to Mt Hood could continue to see moderate snow showers Monday night.

Mostly light snow showers continue across the region on Tuesday as a deep upper low and rapidly intensifying surface low form in our offshore waters. By Tuesday afternoon this low is 946 mb, rivaling the strength of hurricanes. This will bring intensifying E winds through the mountain passes.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
Sunday Night Increasing light to moderate rain and snow showers. Generally light ridgeline winds. Gradual cooling.
Light snow showers. Light to moderate ridgeline winds.
West North
Sunday Night Moderate snow showers (locally heavy at times). Generally light ridgeline winds. Gradual cooling trend.
Light to moderate snow showers. Generally light ridgeline winds.
West Central
Sunday Night Moderate to heavy rain and snow showers (especially in convergence from the Mountain Loop southward during the evening hours). Generally light ridgeline winds. Gradual cooling trend.
Decreasing moderate snow showers. Light to moderate ridgeline winds.
West South
Sunday Night Moderate to heavy rain and snow showers, heaviest at Paradise. Light to moderate ridgeline winds. Gradual cooling trend.
Deacreasing light to moderate snow showers (heaviest at Paradise). Moderate ridgeline winds focusing on areas near the Cascade Crest.
Stevens Pass
Sunday Night Moderate to heavy rain and snow showers (especially in convergence from the Mountain Loop southward during the evening hours). Generally light ridgeline W wind at the Pass. Gradual cooling trend.
Decreasing light to moderate snow showers. Moderate ridgeline and light W wind at the Pass.
Snoqualmie Pass
Sunday Night Moderate to heavy rain and snow showers (especially in convergence from the Mountain Loop southward during the evening hours). Light to moderate ridgeline and light W wind at the Pass. Gradual cooling trend.
Decreasing light to moderate snow showers. Moderate ridgeline and light W wind at the Pass.
East North
Sunday Night Light snow showers. Generally light ridgeline winds. Gradual cooling trend.
Decreasing light snow showers focused on the western part. Generally light ridgeline winds.
East Central
Sunday Night Light rain and snow showers focused on the western part. Moderate ridgeline winds. Gradual cooling trend.
Light snow showers focused on the western part. Moderate ridgeline winds.
East South
Sunday Night Light rain and snow showers focusing on the western part. Moderate ridgeline winds. Gradual cooling trend.
Generally light snow showers. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Mt. Hood
Sunday Night Moderate to heavy rain and snow showers. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds gradually decrease. Gradual cooling trend.
Decreasing moderate snow showers. Decreasing moderate ridgeline winds with strong gusts.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Sunday Evening Snow Level None' None' None' None' 2500' 2500' None' 2500'
Sunday Night Snow Level None' None' None' None' 2000' 2000' None' 2500'
Monday Morning Snow Level None' None' None' None' 2000' 2000' None' 2000'
Monday Afternoon Snow Level None' None' None' None' 1500' 1500' None' 2000'
Monday Evening Snow Level None' None' None' None' 1000' 1000' None' 1500'
Monday Night Snow Level* None' None' None' None' 1000' 1000' None' 1500'
Tuesday Morning Snow Level* None' None' None' None' 500' 500' None' 2000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Sunday Evening Snow Level
None'
Sunday Night Snow Level
None'
Monday Morning Snow Level
None'
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Monday Evening Snow Level
None'
Monday Night Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Baker Elevation
Sunday Evening Snow Level
None'
Sunday Night Snow Level
None'
Monday Morning Snow Level
None'
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Monday Evening Snow Level
None'
Monday Night Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Washington Pass Elevation
Sunday Evening Snow Level
None'
Sunday Night Snow Level
None'
Monday Morning Snow Level
None'
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Monday Evening Snow Level
None'
Monday Night Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Leavenworth Elevation
Sunday Evening Snow Level
None'
Sunday Night Snow Level
None'
Monday Morning Snow Level
None'
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Monday Evening Snow Level
None'
Monday Night Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Stevens Pass Elevation
Sunday Evening Snow Level
2500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
2000'
Monday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Monday Evening Snow Level
1000'
Monday Night Snow Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Evening Snow Level
2500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
2000'
Monday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Monday Evening Snow Level
1000'
Monday Night Snow Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Sunday Evening Snow Level
None'
Sunday Night Snow Level
None'
Monday Morning Snow Level
None'
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Monday Evening Snow Level
None'
Monday Night Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Evening Snow Level
2500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
2500'
Monday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Monday Evening Snow Level
1500'
Monday Night Snow Level
1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Sunday Night Monday Monday Night Tuesday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.25 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0.50 - 0.75 0.50 0.25 LT 0.25
Stevens Pass 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Crystal Mt 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Paradise 1.00 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 0.25
White Pass 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Washington Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 0.25
0.75 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Sunday Night 0.25
Monday 0.25
Monday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Sunday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Monday 0.50
Monday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation Forecast
Sunday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Monday 0.50
Monday Night 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Sunday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Monday 0.25 - 0.50
Monday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Sunday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Monday 0.25 - 0.50
Monday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Sunday Night 0.25
Monday LT 0.25
Monday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.25
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Sunday Night 1.00
Monday 0.25 - 0.50
Monday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday 0.25
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Sunday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Monday 0.25
Monday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Sunday Night LT 0.25
Monday LT 0.25
Monday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday LT 0.10
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Monday 0
Monday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation Forecast
Sunday Night 0.25
Monday LT 0.25
Monday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation Forecast
Sunday Night 0.25
Monday LT 0.25
Monday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Sunday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Monday 0.25 - 0.50
Monday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday 0.25
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Sunday Night 0.75
Monday 0.25 - 0.50
Monday Night 0.25
Tuesday 0.25

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Sunday Evening --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None WSW None - None
Sunday Night --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None WSW None - None
Monday Morning --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None WNW None - None
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Sunday Evening --- None - None
Sunday Night --- None - None
Monday Morning --- None - None
Monday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Baker Elevation
Sunday Evening --- None - None
Sunday Night --- None - None
Monday Morning --- None - None
Monday Afternoon --- None - None
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Evening --- None - None
Sunday Night --- None - None
Monday Morning --- None - None
Monday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Sunday Evening --- None - None
Sunday Night --- None - None
Monday Morning --- None - None
Monday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Evening WSW None - None
Sunday Night WSW None - None
Monday Morning WNW None - None
Monday Afternoon W None - None
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Sunday Evening --- None - None
Sunday Night --- None - None
Monday Morning --- None - None
Monday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Sunday Evening --- None - None
Sunday Night --- None - None
Monday Morning --- None - None
Monday Afternoon --- None - None
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Sunday Evening --- None - None
Sunday Night --- None - None
Monday Morning --- None - None
Monday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Sunday Evening --- None - None
Sunday Night --- None - None
Monday Morning --- None - None
Monday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Sunday Evening WSW None - None
Sunday Night WSW None - None
Monday Morning WNW None - None
Monday Afternoon W None - None

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Extended Weather Synopsis for Tuesday night through Thursday

The aforementioned very deep low remains  offshore but will bring some very intense weather to our region, particularly on Tuesday night. Expect strong and locally extreme E winds through the mountain passes and western foothills of the Cascades. Moderate upslope snowfall is likely on the east slopes of the Cascades, along with a warming trend west of the Cascade Crest, as moderate to locally heavy precipitation spreads throughout the region. East winds gradually ease on Wednesday as milder air continues to make inroads from the south. Waves of moisture continue to arrive from the SSW Wednesday night and Thursday. Throughout the period expect mostly mountain snow near and east of the Cascade Crest with rain and snow mixing further west.

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Tuesday Night Snow Level None' - None' None' - None' None' - None' *
Wednesday Snow Level None' - None' None' - None' None' - None' *
Wednesday Night Snow Level None' - None' None' - None' None' - None' *
Mt. Baker Elevation
Tuesday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Nov. 16, 2024

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.