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Mountain Weather Forecast

Issued: 2:23 PM PST Monday, November 18, 2024
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Monday night through Wednesday

The Pacific Northwest will experience very active and wintery weather throughout the forecast period.

A cool trough remains in place Monday afternoon with light to moderate W flow combined with cold temperatures aloft to efficiently touch off low-density snow showers with rain/snow lines around 1000-1500 ft.

The pattern remains in place Monday night, but a developing deep low offshore gives the flow a more SWerly wind direction as we head into the overnight hours.Expect significant snow accumulations to continue for the western slopes of the Cascades and Olympics, with most areas picking up 2-6" of snow, but 6-12" amounts are likely for Mt St Helens and Mt Rainier.

Mostly light snow showers generally end early Tuesday a deep upper low off Heida Gwaii pulls down cold air from the Gulf of Alaska, invigorating and rapidly intensifying a newly formed surface low. By Tuesday evening this low-pressure center drops to 940-945 mb, rivaling the strength of hurricanes.

The result will be more cloudy weather with light snow at times on Tuesday morning. Increasing light to moderate ESE winds through the mountain gaps and SSW winds aloft will focus some mostly light snowfall on the east slopes of the Cascades, the Olympics, and southern Volcanoes by the afternoon/

This whole package intensifies very rapidly during the evening hours as the storm reaches peak strength in our offshore waters as it lifts northward. Expect moderate to heavy snowfall focusing on similar areas with lighter snowfall spreading into the western central and northern Cascades. E winds driven by circulation around the low combined with -14 mb cross-cascade pressure gradients (very strong) will create blizzard conditions in the mountain passes and breaking mountain waves could produce damaging winds in the western Cascade Foothills with gusts in the 50-75 mph range over widespread areas.

A warming trend that started Tuesday evening will continue on Wednesday as precipitation decreases in the light to moderate range with decreasing E winds continuing to focus more precipitation along the E slopes of the ranges and SSW winds aloft favoring the volcanoes.

 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
Monday Night Light snow showers. Locally intense at times.
Cloudy in the northern Olympics with increasing light to moderate snow developing in the southern and eastern Olympics. Light ridgeline winds become moderate in the afternoon with strong gusts.
West North
Monday Night Light to occasionally moderate snow showers. Locally heavy at times.
Light snow showers mostly ending, then remaining cloudy with very light snow possible at times. Light ridgeline winds become moderate in the afternoon with strong gusts.
West Central
Monday Night Light to occasionally moderate snow showers. Locally heavy at times.
Light snow showers ending early, then remaining cloudy. Light ridgeline winds become moderate in the afternoon with strong gusts.
West South
Monday Night Light to moderate snow showers, heaviest at Paradise. Locally intense at times.
Light snow showers transition to periods of light snow. Light ridgeline winds become moderate in the afternoon with strong gusts.
Stevens Pass
Monday Night Light snow showers. Light ridgeline and W wind at the Pass shifting E overnight.
A few snow showers in the morning, then cloudy conditions in the afternoon. Light ridgeline and E winds at the pass in the morning. Ridgeline winds increase into the moderate range in the afternoon.
Snoqualmie Pass
Monday Night Light snow showers. Light ridgeline and W wind at the Pass shifting E overnight.
A few snow showers in the morning, then cloudy conditions in the afternoon. Light ridgeline and E winds at the pass in the morning. Ridgeline winds increase into the moderate range in the afternoon.
East North
Monday Night Mostly cloudy with occasional light snow showers.
Cloudy with occasional snow showers in the morning and occasional light snow late in the day. Light ridgeline winds increase into the moderate range during the afternoon.
East Central
Monday Night Mostly cloudy with light snow showers at times.
Cloudy with occasional snow showers in the morning and occasional light snow in the afternoon. Light ridgeline winds increase into the moderate range during the afternoon.
East South
Monday Night Mostly cloudy with light snow showers at times.
Cloudy with occasional snow showers in the morning and steady light snow develops in the afternoon. Light ridgeline winds increase into the moderate range during the afternoon.
Mt. Hood
Monday Night Light to moderate snow showers may be locally intense at times. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Light snow showers in the morning becoming steady and increasing light to potentially moderate snow in the afternoon. Increasing moderate ridgeline winds with strong gusts likely in the afternoon.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Monday Evening Snow Level None' None' None' None' 1000' 1000' None' 1500'
Monday Night Snow Level* None' None' None' None' 1000' 1000' None' 2000'
Tuesday Morning Snow Level* None' None' None' None' 500' 1000' None' 2500'
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level* None' None' None' None' 1500' 1500' None' 3000'
Tuesday Evening Snow Level* None' None' None' None' 1500' 2000' None' 3500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level* None' None' None' None' 2000' 2500' None' 4000'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level* None' None' None' None' 2500' 2500' None' 4000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Monday Evening Snow Level
None'
Monday Night Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Baker Elevation
Monday Evening Snow Level
None'
Monday Night Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Washington Pass Elevation
Monday Evening Snow Level
None'
Monday Night Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Leavenworth Elevation
Monday Evening Snow Level
None'
Monday Night Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Stevens Pass Elevation
Monday Evening Snow Level
1000'
Monday Night Snow Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Monday Evening Snow Level
1000'
Monday Night Snow Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Monday Evening Snow Level
None'
Monday Night Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Monday Evening Snow Level
1500'
Monday Night Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Monday Night Tuesday Tuesday Night Wednesday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.25 0 0.50 - 0.75 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.25 LT 0.10 0.75 0.25 - 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0.25 LT 0.10 0.50 LT 0.25
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 0.25
Paradise 0.50 LT 0.10 1.00 0.25
White Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0.75 - 1.00 0.25
Washington Pass 0 LT 0.10 0.50 LT 0.25
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0.75 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0.75 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.10 LT 0.10 1.00 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows 0.25 0.25 1.00 0.25
0.25 0.25 1.00 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday 0
Tuesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Wednesday 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0.75
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0.50
Wednesday LT 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday LT 0.10
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday 0.25
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 1.00
Wednesday 0.25
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0.75 - 1.00
Wednesday 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night 0
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0.50
Wednesday LT 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0.75
Wednesday 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0.75
Wednesday 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 1.00
Wednesday 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night 0.25
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night 1.00
Wednesday 0.25
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Monday Night 0.25
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night 1.00
Wednesday 0.25

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Monday Evening --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None WSW None - None
Monday Night --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None SW None - None
Tuesday Morning --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None SW None - None
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Monday Evening --- None - None
Monday Night --- None - None
Tuesday Morning --- None - None
Tuesday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Baker Elevation
Monday Evening --- None - None
Monday Night --- None - None
Tuesday Morning --- None - None
Tuesday Afternoon --- None - None
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Monday Evening --- None - None
Monday Night --- None - None
Tuesday Morning --- None - None
Tuesday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Monday Evening --- None - None
Monday Night --- None - None
Tuesday Morning --- None - None
Tuesday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Hood Elevation
Monday Evening WSW None - None
Monday Night SW None - None
Tuesday Morning SW None - None
Tuesday Afternoon S None - None
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Monday Evening --- None - None
Monday Night --- None - None
Tuesday Morning --- None - None
Tuesday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Monday Evening --- None - None
Monday Night --- None - None
Tuesday Morning --- None - None
Tuesday Afternoon --- None - None
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Monday Evening --- None - None
Monday Night --- None - None
Tuesday Morning --- None - None
Tuesday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Monday Evening --- None - None
Monday Night --- None - None
Tuesday Morning --- None - None
Tuesday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Monday Evening WSW None - None
Monday Night SW None - None
Tuesday Morning SW None - None
Tuesday Afternoon S None - None

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Extended Weather Synopsis for Wednesday night through Friday

The deep mid-latitude cyclone bringing wild weather early in the week continues to rotate off the British Columbia coastline, spinning waves of light to occasionally moderate rain and snow into our region as snow levels continue to gradually rise. Expect somewhat cooler temperatures east of the Cascade Crest, a wintry mix at times through the Cascade Gaps, and a transition to rain at middle elevations along the western slopes of the Cascades Thursday through Friday.

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Wednesday Night Snow Level None' - None' None' - None' None' - None' *
Thursday Snow Level None' - None' None' - None' None' - None' *
Thursday Night Snow Level None' - None' None' - None' None' - None' *
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Nov. 17, 2024

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.