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Mountain Weather Forecast

Issued: 2:21 PM PST Thursday, November 21, 2024
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Thursday night through Saturday

Another deep low pressure positioned offshore will deepen rapidly tonight and produce a stormy conditions for our mountains.  Warm frontal precipitation will lift north overnight through OR and southern WA and spread precipitation toward the Canadian border around sunrise.  The low will briefly tap into subtropical moisture, aka an old atmospheric river boundary over inland NW and CA/OR, but significant moisture will be cut-off by Friday morning keeping this from being an exceptionally wet storm.  

E-SE winds will ramp up once again tonight with strong E-SE becoming strong S-SW on Friday morning in many areas.  Tonight through early Friday, the strongest E-SE will favor the central/southern WA Cascades and Passes, and then the post-frontal S-SW winds will be strongest over the Olympics and Mt Baker area Friday afternoon.

Unfortunately, this system will feature a warming trend with snow levels rising rapidly over Mt Hood tonight. Easterly flow through the Passes will help keep snow levels lower initially, but the WA Cascades will likely warm to 4500-5500' by Friday afternoon.  Precipitation totals will be highest along the east slopes of the Cascades with along the southern WA Cascades in general with storm WE totals of 1.00" or more.  Snow will transition to rain more quickly for Mt Hood and at mid-elevations along the west slopes of the Cascades south of I-90 Friday morning. As precipitation tapers Friday afternoon, we'll see a mix of sun and clouds for the latter half of the day. 

The same low pressure system will be like a house guest that just won't leave...hanging around offshore and continuing to send weak impulses (bands of showers) inland  on Saturday and making it difficult to pinpoint timing or cloud cover over the region. Plan for periods of wet weather and 3000-4000' snow levels, with the showers most likely to pepper the Olympic peninsula in this pattern. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
Thursday Night Chance of rain or snow showers in the evening, then light rain or snow developing after midnight and increasing late. Moderate ridgeline winds developing late.
Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow in the morning, then mostly cloudy with scattered rain and snow showers in the afternoon. Strong ridgeline winds.
West North
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow showers.
Light to moderate rain and snow in the morning, then mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers in the afternoon. Strong ridgeline winds.
West Central
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow showers becoming cloudy with light rain and snow developing late tonight. Moderate ridgeline winds developing late tonight.
Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow in the morning, then mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers in the afternoon. Strong ridgeline winds decreasing in the afternoon.
West South
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow showers becoming cloudy with light rain and snow developing around midnight. Strong ridgelines developing around midnight.
Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow in the morning, then mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers in the afternoon. Moderate E-SE winds becoming S-SW in the afternoon.
Stevens Pass
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow showers becoming cloudy with light snow developing late tonight. Moderate E-SE Pass level and ridgeline winds developing overnight.
Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow in the morning, then mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers in the afternoon. Moderate E-SE winds becoming S-SW in the afternoon.
Snoqualmie Pass
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow showers becoming cloudy with light snow developing late tonight. Moderate to strong E-SE Pass level and ridgeline winds developing overnight.
Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow in the morning, then mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers in the afternoon. Moderate E-SE winds becoming S-SW in the afternoon.
East North
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow showers becoming cloudy with light rain and snow developing late tonight.
Light to moderate rain and snow in the morning, then mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers in the afternoon. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds easing in the afternoon.
East Central
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow showers becoming cloudy with light snow developing after midnight. Moderate ridgeline winds developing overnight.
Light to moderate rain and snow in the morning, then mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers early in the afternoon. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds easing in the afternoon.
East South
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow showers becoming cloudy with light snow developing late this evening. Moderate ridgeline winds developing overnight.
Light to moderate rain and snow in the morning, then mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers early in the afternoon. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds easing in the afternoon.
Mt. Hood
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow showers becoming cloudy with light snow developing late this evening. Moderate ridgeline winds becoming strong overnight.
Light to moderate rain and snow in the morning, then mostly cloudy with scattered light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers early in the afternoon. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Thursday Evening Snow Level* None' None' None' None' 3000' 3500' None' 6000'
Thursday Night Snow Level* None' None' None' None' 3000' 3000' None' 8000'
Friday Morning Snow Level* None' None' None' None' 3500' 4000' None' 8000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level* None' None' None' None' 4500' 5000' None' 6500'
Friday Evening Snow Level* None' None' None' None' 4500' 4500' None' 5000'
Friday Night Snow Level* None' None' None' None' 3000' 3500' None' 4500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level None' None' None' None' 3500' 3500' None' 3500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Evening Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Snow Level
None'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Evening Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Snow Level
None'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Washington Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Evening Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Snow Level
None'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Leavenworth Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Evening Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Snow Level
None'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Evening Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Evening Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Evening Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Snow Level
None'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
8000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Snow Level
8000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Evening Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Thursday Night Friday Friday Night Saturday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.25 0.50 0.25 LT 0.10
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.10 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Stevens Pass LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Crystal Mt 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Paradise 0.25 - 0.50 0.75 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
White Pass 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Washington Pass LT 0.10 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge 0.25 0.50 0 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0.25 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
0.50 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0.50
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday LT 0.10
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0.50
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday 0.50 - 0.75
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.25
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday 0.75
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.25
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday 0.50 - 0.75
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0.50
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday 0.50
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday 0.50
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday 0.50
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0.50
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.25
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0.50
Friday 0.50
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.25

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Thursday Evening --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None SSE None - None
Thursday Night --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None SE None - None
Friday Morning --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None SSW None - None
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Thursday Evening --- None - None
Thursday Night --- None - None
Friday Morning --- None - None
Friday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Evening --- None - None
Thursday Night --- None - None
Friday Morning --- None - None
Friday Afternoon --- None - None
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening --- None - None
Thursday Night --- None - None
Friday Morning --- None - None
Friday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Thursday Evening --- None - None
Thursday Night --- None - None
Friday Morning --- None - None
Friday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Evening SSE None - None
Thursday Night SE None - None
Friday Morning SSW None - None
Friday Afternoon SW None - None
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening --- None - None
Thursday Night --- None - None
Friday Morning --- None - None
Friday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening --- None - None
Thursday Night --- None - None
Friday Morning --- None - None
Friday Afternoon --- None - None
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening --- None - None
Thursday Night --- None - None
Friday Morning --- None - None
Friday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening --- None - None
Thursday Night --- None - None
Friday Morning --- None - None
Friday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening SSE None - None
Thursday Night SE None - None
Friday Morning SSW None - None
Friday Afternoon SW None - None

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Extended Weather Synopsis for Saturday night through Monday

Similar weather from Saturday will extend to Sunday with some showers but not exceptionally stormy or wet weather.  A drying trend may try to take hold Monday or that may have to wait until the middle of next week. 

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Saturday Night Snow Level None' - None' None' - None' None' - None'
Sunday Snow Level None' - None' None' - None' None' - None' *
Sunday Night Snow Level None' - None' None' - None' None' - None' *
Mt. Baker Elevation
Saturday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
Sunday Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
Sunday Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
Sunday Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Snow Level
None' - None'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Nov. 20, 2024

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